Mark schemeSet ASet BSet C

A-level Business (7132) · Paper 3: Business 3

RA10 predicted paper · June 2027 · Set B · Question paper · Time allowed: 2 hours · Maximum mark: 100

Instructions

Written by RA10 from a question-by-question analysis of the AQA 7132 papers 2020-2025 and the v2.0 specification. This is not an official AQA paper and does not contain real exam questions.

Insert: Orchard & Vine Ltd

A family business

Orchard & Vine Ltd makes premium chutneys, relishes and sauces in a converted farm in Herefordshire. It was founded 30 years ago by Harriet Vine's parents and is still 100% owned by the Vine family. It employs 120 people and is the largest employer in its village. Harriet, the Managing Director, knows every employee by name. She makes the important decisions herself but always explains her reasons, and she pays above the local average, funds a staff bus and gives every employee a hamper at Christmas. Labour turnover is just 4%.

The kitchen

Every product is cooked in small batches in copper pans using recipes developed by the family, with fruit bought from local orchards wherever possible. The products have won 34 Great Taste awards. Cooking in small batches is slow and labour intensive, and unit costs are higher than those of large manufacturers who use continuous production lines. Harriet believes customers will always pay more for food that 'tastes like it was made at home'.

The market

UK sales of chutneys and pickles have grown slowly in recent years, while the hot sauce market has grown by around 18% a year, driven by younger shoppers and social media. Large food manufacturers dominate the mass market, and supermarket own-label products sell at about half the price of Orchard & Vine's.

Selling to supermarkets

Ten years ago Orchard & Vine sold mainly to delicatessens and farm shops. Today three large supermarkets account for most of its sales (Appendix A). Supermarket buyers are demanding: they ask for annual price cuts, charge fees for promotions and shelf space, and have recently extended their payment terms from 30 to 60 days. Losing one supermarket listing would be a serious blow, and Harriet knows that the supermarkets also sell their own-label chutneys.

A new product

Orchard & Vine's development kitchen has created 'Fire & Honey', a range of hot sauces aimed at younger customers. Hot sauces are one of the fastest-growing condiment markets. A new bottling line would be leased to make the range. Forecast data are shown in Appendix B.

Cash

Despite growing sales, Orchard & Vine's bank balance has fallen. The longer payment terms, higher ingredient prices and the need to build inventory before the Christmas season are all putting pressure on cash. The Finance Director has prepared the cash flow forecast in Appendix C and warned that the business may be overtrading. The bank has agreed an overdraft limit of £150 000.

Growth options

Harriet must choose between two growth opportunities (Appendix D). Option 1: Fresco, a large supermarket, has offered a three-year contract to make its own-label 'Finest' chutney range. Orchard & Vine would need to invest £600 000 in extra capacity. Option 2: Export Orchard & Vine's branded products to delicatessens and food halls in Germany and the Netherlands through a specialist food distributor, priced in euros. Harriet's father, who still sits on the board, says: 'Our competitive advantage is our recipes and our people. Whatever we do, we must not lose that.' One long-serving cook put it differently: 'Harriet looks after us, and we look after the food. But it's always her decision, and we only find out about big changes when they happen.'

Appendix A Orchard & Vine Ltd revenue by channel (%)

201420192024
Three large supermarkets214864
Delicatessens and farm shops713822
Online (own website)81414

Revenue in 2024: £14.6m. Operating profit margin: 2014 14%; 2019 10%; 2024 7%.

Appendix B 'Fire & Honey' forecasts

Price to retailers per bottle£2.40
Variable cost per bottle£1.15
Fixed costs per year (line lease and marketing)£150,000
Forecast sales Year 1 (bottles)110,000
Forecast sales Year 2 (bottles)160,000
Capacity of new line (bottles per year)200,000

Appendix C Cash flow forecast (£000)

JulAugSepOctNovDec
Cash inflows410395420470520560
Cash outflows450470480500510530
Opening balance8040-35-95-125-115
Closing balance40-35-95-125-115-85

Appendix D Growth options

Option 1 Fresco own-labelOption 2 Export via distributor
Annual volume (jars)900,000250,000
Price per jar received£1.55£2.10 (at current exchange rate)
Variable cost per jar£1.05£1.25 + £0.20 shipping
Initial investment£600,000£120,000 (labelling, certification, trade fairs)
Contract3 years; Fresco can end with 6 months' noticeDistributor agreement reviewed annually

END OF SOURCE

Questions

[12 marks]01With reference to the Tannenbaum Schmidt continuum, analyse why Harriet's leadership style may have contributed to Orchard & Vine Ltd's success.
[12 marks]02Using Appendix A, analyse how the buyer power of supermarkets affects Orchard & Vine Ltd's profitability.
[16 marks]03Should Orchard & Vine Ltd launch the 'Fire & Honey' range? Use calculations from Appendix B and other information to justify your view.
[16 marks]04Using Appendix C and other information, to what extent is Orchard & Vine Ltd at risk of overtrading?
[20 marks]05Should Orchard & Vine Ltd choose Option 1 or Option 2? Use quantitative and qualitative information to justify your view.
[24 marks]06To what extent is it more difficult for small businesses than large businesses to maintain a competitive advantage?